Abstract
Eleven years (1986-1996) of wildlife- and domestic-rabies data from the agriculture stock-ranching area of central Namibia were studied using time-series analysis. Nine hundred and sixty three rabies cases were observed in domestic ruminants (5.4 case/mo), black-blacked jackals (Canis mesomelas, 1.3 cases/mo), domestic dogs (0.5 case/mo), and bat-eared foxes (Otocyon megalotis, 0.1 case/mo). The incidence of rabies for all species did not change significantly over the whole study period. However, seasonal variations with an increase in the number of cases between June and November of each year, as well as 3-4 yr cyclical fluctuations were identified in domestic ruminants and black-backed jackals. The black-backed jackal time-series variable was a significant predictor of the domestic-ruminant and dog time-series variables. The rainfall seasonality combined with the seasonal reproductive pattern of the black-backed jackal appeared to be plausible explanations for the seasonal variations of rabies. However, there was no overall significant correlation between the cyclical weather fluctuations and the 3-4 yr cyclical rabies variations.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 13-28 |
| Number of pages | 16 |
| Journal | Preventive Veterinary Medicine |
| Volume | 43 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Jan 5 2000 |
| Externally published | Yes |
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Keywords
- Black-backed jackal
- Canis mesomelas
- Namibia
- Rabies virus
- Southern Africa
- Time-series analysis
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Animal Science and Zoology
- veterinary(all)
Cite this
Temporal patterns of domestic and wildlife rabies in central Namibia stock-ranching area, 1986-1996. / Courtin, F.; Carpenter, Tim; Paskin, R. D.; Chomel, Bruno B.
In: Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol. 43, No. 1, 05.01.2000, p. 13-28.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Temporal patterns of domestic and wildlife rabies in central Namibia stock-ranching area, 1986-1996
AU - Courtin, F.
AU - Carpenter, Tim
AU - Paskin, R. D.
AU - Chomel, Bruno B
PY - 2000/1/5
Y1 - 2000/1/5
N2 - Eleven years (1986-1996) of wildlife- and domestic-rabies data from the agriculture stock-ranching area of central Namibia were studied using time-series analysis. Nine hundred and sixty three rabies cases were observed in domestic ruminants (5.4 case/mo), black-blacked jackals (Canis mesomelas, 1.3 cases/mo), domestic dogs (0.5 case/mo), and bat-eared foxes (Otocyon megalotis, 0.1 case/mo). The incidence of rabies for all species did not change significantly over the whole study period. However, seasonal variations with an increase in the number of cases between June and November of each year, as well as 3-4 yr cyclical fluctuations were identified in domestic ruminants and black-backed jackals. The black-backed jackal time-series variable was a significant predictor of the domestic-ruminant and dog time-series variables. The rainfall seasonality combined with the seasonal reproductive pattern of the black-backed jackal appeared to be plausible explanations for the seasonal variations of rabies. However, there was no overall significant correlation between the cyclical weather fluctuations and the 3-4 yr cyclical rabies variations.
AB - Eleven years (1986-1996) of wildlife- and domestic-rabies data from the agriculture stock-ranching area of central Namibia were studied using time-series analysis. Nine hundred and sixty three rabies cases were observed in domestic ruminants (5.4 case/mo), black-blacked jackals (Canis mesomelas, 1.3 cases/mo), domestic dogs (0.5 case/mo), and bat-eared foxes (Otocyon megalotis, 0.1 case/mo). The incidence of rabies for all species did not change significantly over the whole study period. However, seasonal variations with an increase in the number of cases between June and November of each year, as well as 3-4 yr cyclical fluctuations were identified in domestic ruminants and black-backed jackals. The black-backed jackal time-series variable was a significant predictor of the domestic-ruminant and dog time-series variables. The rainfall seasonality combined with the seasonal reproductive pattern of the black-backed jackal appeared to be plausible explanations for the seasonal variations of rabies. However, there was no overall significant correlation between the cyclical weather fluctuations and the 3-4 yr cyclical rabies variations.
KW - Black-backed jackal
KW - Canis mesomelas
KW - Namibia
KW - Rabies virus
KW - Southern Africa
KW - Time-series analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0034606727&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0034606727&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00083-5
DO - 10.1016/S0167-5877(99)00083-5
M3 - Article
C2 - 10665948
AN - SCOPUS:0034606727
VL - 43
SP - 13
EP - 28
JO - Preventive Veterinary Medicine
JF - Preventive Veterinary Medicine
SN - 0167-5877
IS - 1
ER -