Abstract
An equation was developed that describes the probability of eliminating egg-borne Mycoplasma meleagridis (MM) of turkeys by egg treatment. Probability (P) of MM elimination was described in terms of four parameters: pretreatment prevalence of MM, alpha; treatment failure rate, beta; number of eggs treated, n; and hatching rate, h. The eradication equation, based on the Poisson probability distribution, was P(0) = e-n alpha beta h. Probabilities derived from 12 hypothetical MM-eradication situations showed that increasing the size of any or all of the parameters decreased the likelihood of eradication. Use of the predictive equation as a planning tool in a successful MM-eradication program is demonstrated.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 264-271 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | Avian Diseases |
| Volume | 31 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| State | Published - Apr 1987 |
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ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Cancer Research
- Immunology
- veterinary(all)
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Mycoplasma meleagridis of turkeys : probability of eliminating egg-borne infection. / Edson, R. K.; Yamamoto, R.; Farver, Thomas B.
In: Avian Diseases, Vol. 31, No. 2, 04.1987, p. 264-271.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Mycoplasma meleagridis of turkeys
T2 - probability of eliminating egg-borne infection.
AU - Edson, R. K.
AU - Yamamoto, R.
AU - Farver, Thomas B
PY - 1987/4
Y1 - 1987/4
N2 - An equation was developed that describes the probability of eliminating egg-borne Mycoplasma meleagridis (MM) of turkeys by egg treatment. Probability (P) of MM elimination was described in terms of four parameters: pretreatment prevalence of MM, alpha; treatment failure rate, beta; number of eggs treated, n; and hatching rate, h. The eradication equation, based on the Poisson probability distribution, was P(0) = e-n alpha beta h. Probabilities derived from 12 hypothetical MM-eradication situations showed that increasing the size of any or all of the parameters decreased the likelihood of eradication. Use of the predictive equation as a planning tool in a successful MM-eradication program is demonstrated.
AB - An equation was developed that describes the probability of eliminating egg-borne Mycoplasma meleagridis (MM) of turkeys by egg treatment. Probability (P) of MM elimination was described in terms of four parameters: pretreatment prevalence of MM, alpha; treatment failure rate, beta; number of eggs treated, n; and hatching rate, h. The eradication equation, based on the Poisson probability distribution, was P(0) = e-n alpha beta h. Probabilities derived from 12 hypothetical MM-eradication situations showed that increasing the size of any or all of the parameters decreased the likelihood of eradication. Use of the predictive equation as a planning tool in a successful MM-eradication program is demonstrated.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0023322481&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0023322481&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
VL - 31
SP - 264
EP - 271
JO - Avian Diseases
JF - Avian Diseases
SN - 0005-2086
IS - 2
ER -