Abstract
An equation was developed that describes the probability of eliminating egg-borne Mycoplasma meleagridis (MM) of turkeys by egg treatment. Probability (P) of MM elimination was described in terms of four parameters: pretreatment prevalence of MM, alpha; treatment failure rate, beta; number of eggs treated, n; and hatching rate, h. The eradication equation, based on the Poisson probability distribution, was P(0) = e-n alpha beta h. Probabilities derived from 12 hypothetical MM-eradication situations showed that increasing the size of any or all of the parameters decreased the likelihood of eradication. Use of the predictive equation as a planning tool in a successful MM-eradication program is demonstrated.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 264-271 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Journal | Avian Diseases |
| Volume | 31 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| State | Published - Apr 1987 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Cancer Research
- Immunology
- veterinary(all)