Mycoplasma meleagridis of turkeys: probability of eliminating egg-borne infection.

R. K. Edson, R. Yamamoto, T. B. Farver

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

An equation was developed that describes the probability of eliminating egg-borne Mycoplasma meleagridis (MM) of turkeys by egg treatment. Probability (P) of MM elimination was described in terms of four parameters: pretreatment prevalence of MM, alpha; treatment failure rate, beta; number of eggs treated, n; and hatching rate, h. The eradication equation, based on the Poisson probability distribution, was P(0) = e-n alpha beta h. Probabilities derived from 12 hypothetical MM-eradication situations showed that increasing the size of any or all of the parameters decreased the likelihood of eradication. Use of the predictive equation as a planning tool in a successful MM-eradication program is demonstrated.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)264-271
Number of pages8
JournalAvian Diseases
Volume31
Issue number2
StatePublished - Apr 1987

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Cancer Research
  • Immunology
  • veterinary(all)

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