TY - JOUR
T1 - Microcomputer programs for markov and modified markov chain disease models
AU - Carpenter, Tim
PY - 1988/1/1
Y1 - 1988/1/1
N2 - Two simulation models were created using an electronic spreadsheet. The models, IV and V, were developed from a multi-agent mastisis example and assumed Markov and modified Markov chain processes, respectively. Model IV simulated disease occurrence in which the probability of transmission remained constant. Model V simulated disease occurrence in a population which had constant state transition probability rates, except for those of a single agent, which were assumed to be dynamic and follow the assumptions of the classic Reed-Frost model. The methodology developed for these models should be easily adopted to other disease problems in either human or veterinary medicine.
AB - Two simulation models were created using an electronic spreadsheet. The models, IV and V, were developed from a multi-agent mastisis example and assumed Markov and modified Markov chain processes, respectively. Model IV simulated disease occurrence in which the probability of transmission remained constant. Model V simulated disease occurrence in a population which had constant state transition probability rates, except for those of a single agent, which were assumed to be dynamic and follow the assumptions of the classic Reed-Frost model. The methodology developed for these models should be easily adopted to other disease problems in either human or veterinary medicine.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=38249032672&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=38249032672&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/0167-5877(88)90002-5
DO - 10.1016/0167-5877(88)90002-5
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:38249032672
VL - 5
SP - 169
EP - 179
JO - Preventive Veterinary Medicine
JF - Preventive Veterinary Medicine
SN - 0167-5877
IS - 3
ER -