Abstract
Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is no longer rare for elderly patients. This study evaluates operative mortality and the effects of off-pump CABG (OPCAB) on mortality for elderly Californians between 2003 and 2008. Methods: All isolated CABGs in California for 2003 to 2008 were classified into cohorts by age: (1) younger than 75, (2) 75 to 84, and (3) 85 or older. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed for operative mortality. Trend analyses for observed and predicted mortality, and observed-to-expected mortality ratios were performed. The "recycled predictions" method was used to assess the effect of OPCAB on operative mortality. Results: Among 101,710 isolated CABGs between 2003 and 2008, 22.0% were in cohort 2 and 2.3% were in cohort 3. Predicted mortality was unchanged for cohorts 2 and 3 (all p > 0.05), but observed-to-expected mortality ratios declined from 0.958 to 0.633 for cohort 2 (p = 0.021) and from 1.027 to 0.965 for cohort 3 (p = 0.168). The proportion of OPCAB for patients aged 75 years or older increased from 25.0% to 29.1% between 2003 and 2008. The adjusted odds ratio for operative mortality for OPCAB in patients aged 75 years or older was 0.752 (95% confidence interval, 0.650 to 0.871; p < 0.001) compared with on-pump CABG for the same age cohort. Conclusions: In California, overall predicted mortality was unchanged for elderly patients between 2003 and 2008, but operative mortality significantly decreased for patients aged 75 to 84. Improvement for CABG patients aged 85 years or older was insignificant. The increase in the number of OPCAB patients was associated with decreased mortality for elderly patients.
| Original language | English (US) |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1167-1173 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| Journal | Annals of Thoracic Surgery |
| Volume | 93 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Apr 2012 |
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ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine
- Surgery
- Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine
Cite this
Coronary artery bypass operations for elderly patients in California, 2003 to 2008. / Li, Zhongmin; Amsterdam, Ezra A; Yeo, Khung Keong; Hoegh, Holly; Mahendra, Geeta; Boyd, Walter D; Young, J Nilas.
In: Annals of Thoracic Surgery, Vol. 93, No. 4, 04.2012, p. 1167-1173.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Coronary artery bypass operations for elderly patients in California, 2003 to 2008
AU - Li, Zhongmin
AU - Amsterdam, Ezra A
AU - Yeo, Khung Keong
AU - Hoegh, Holly
AU - Mahendra, Geeta
AU - Boyd, Walter D
AU - Young, J Nilas
PY - 2012/4
Y1 - 2012/4
N2 - Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is no longer rare for elderly patients. This study evaluates operative mortality and the effects of off-pump CABG (OPCAB) on mortality for elderly Californians between 2003 and 2008. Methods: All isolated CABGs in California for 2003 to 2008 were classified into cohorts by age: (1) younger than 75, (2) 75 to 84, and (3) 85 or older. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed for operative mortality. Trend analyses for observed and predicted mortality, and observed-to-expected mortality ratios were performed. The "recycled predictions" method was used to assess the effect of OPCAB on operative mortality. Results: Among 101,710 isolated CABGs between 2003 and 2008, 22.0% were in cohort 2 and 2.3% were in cohort 3. Predicted mortality was unchanged for cohorts 2 and 3 (all p > 0.05), but observed-to-expected mortality ratios declined from 0.958 to 0.633 for cohort 2 (p = 0.021) and from 1.027 to 0.965 for cohort 3 (p = 0.168). The proportion of OPCAB for patients aged 75 years or older increased from 25.0% to 29.1% between 2003 and 2008. The adjusted odds ratio for operative mortality for OPCAB in patients aged 75 years or older was 0.752 (95% confidence interval, 0.650 to 0.871; p < 0.001) compared with on-pump CABG for the same age cohort. Conclusions: In California, overall predicted mortality was unchanged for elderly patients between 2003 and 2008, but operative mortality significantly decreased for patients aged 75 to 84. Improvement for CABG patients aged 85 years or older was insignificant. The increase in the number of OPCAB patients was associated with decreased mortality for elderly patients.
AB - Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is no longer rare for elderly patients. This study evaluates operative mortality and the effects of off-pump CABG (OPCAB) on mortality for elderly Californians between 2003 and 2008. Methods: All isolated CABGs in California for 2003 to 2008 were classified into cohorts by age: (1) younger than 75, (2) 75 to 84, and (3) 85 or older. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed for operative mortality. Trend analyses for observed and predicted mortality, and observed-to-expected mortality ratios were performed. The "recycled predictions" method was used to assess the effect of OPCAB on operative mortality. Results: Among 101,710 isolated CABGs between 2003 and 2008, 22.0% were in cohort 2 and 2.3% were in cohort 3. Predicted mortality was unchanged for cohorts 2 and 3 (all p > 0.05), but observed-to-expected mortality ratios declined from 0.958 to 0.633 for cohort 2 (p = 0.021) and from 1.027 to 0.965 for cohort 3 (p = 0.168). The proportion of OPCAB for patients aged 75 years or older increased from 25.0% to 29.1% between 2003 and 2008. The adjusted odds ratio for operative mortality for OPCAB in patients aged 75 years or older was 0.752 (95% confidence interval, 0.650 to 0.871; p < 0.001) compared with on-pump CABG for the same age cohort. Conclusions: In California, overall predicted mortality was unchanged for elderly patients between 2003 and 2008, but operative mortality significantly decreased for patients aged 75 to 84. Improvement for CABG patients aged 85 years or older was insignificant. The increase in the number of OPCAB patients was associated with decreased mortality for elderly patients.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84859036023&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84859036023&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2011.12.033
DO - 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2011.12.033
M3 - Article
C2 - 22365262
AN - SCOPUS:84859036023
VL - 93
SP - 1167
EP - 1173
JO - Annals of Thoracic Surgery
JF - Annals of Thoracic Surgery
SN - 0003-4975
IS - 4
ER -