Benefit-cost analysis of bubonic plague surveillance and control at two campgrounds in California, USA

S. W. Kimsey, Tim Carpenter, M. Pappaioanou, E. Lusk

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A benefit-cost analysis was performed at the request of the California Department of Health Services on its plague control program at 2 California campgrounds. In addition to the current control program, consisting of surveillance and control, a surveillance-only program and 2 no-program alternatives were considered. The results showed that the current control program was economically preferable, with an average annual net benefit of ca. $2000. Ranking the suboptimal alternatives showed that the no-program/open-park alternative was the next preferable, followed by the surveillance-only program, then the no-program/park-closure alternative. Sensitivity analysis showed that the current control program would remain optimal if the initial assumptions were reasonably accurate. However, the results were highly sensitive to the assumed number of human cases and frequency of epidemics. Slight overstatement of these factors might incorrectly favor the current control program over the no-program/open-park alternative. Methodology developed in this study may be applied to an evaluation of the California (or other statewide/regional) plague control programs.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)499-506
Number of pages8
JournalJournal of Medical Entomology
Volume22
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 1985

Fingerprint

campgrounds
cost benefit analysis
Plague
plague
Cost-Benefit Analysis
monitoring
health services
Health Services
methodology

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Parasitology
  • veterinary(all)
  • Insect Science
  • Infectious Diseases

Cite this

Benefit-cost analysis of bubonic plague surveillance and control at two campgrounds in California, USA. / Kimsey, S. W.; Carpenter, Tim; Pappaioanou, M.; Lusk, E.

In: Journal of Medical Entomology, Vol. 22, No. 5, 01.01.1985, p. 499-506.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

@article{338e6fe6cbdc4f0cba1154f6f25f8ebe,
title = "Benefit-cost analysis of bubonic plague surveillance and control at two campgrounds in California, USA",
abstract = "A benefit-cost analysis was performed at the request of the California Department of Health Services on its plague control program at 2 California campgrounds. In addition to the current control program, consisting of surveillance and control, a surveillance-only program and 2 no-program alternatives were considered. The results showed that the current control program was economically preferable, with an average annual net benefit of ca. $2000. Ranking the suboptimal alternatives showed that the no-program/open-park alternative was the next preferable, followed by the surveillance-only program, then the no-program/park-closure alternative. Sensitivity analysis showed that the current control program would remain optimal if the initial assumptions were reasonably accurate. However, the results were highly sensitive to the assumed number of human cases and frequency of epidemics. Slight overstatement of these factors might incorrectly favor the current control program over the no-program/open-park alternative. Methodology developed in this study may be applied to an evaluation of the California (or other statewide/regional) plague control programs.",
author = "Kimsey, {S. W.} and Tim Carpenter and M. Pappaioanou and E. Lusk",
year = "1985",
month = "1",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1093/jmedent/22.5.499",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "22",
pages = "499--506",
journal = "Journal of Medical Entomology",
issn = "0022-2585",
publisher = "Entomological Society of America",
number = "5",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Benefit-cost analysis of bubonic plague surveillance and control at two campgrounds in California, USA

AU - Kimsey, S. W.

AU - Carpenter, Tim

AU - Pappaioanou, M.

AU - Lusk, E.

PY - 1985/1/1

Y1 - 1985/1/1

N2 - A benefit-cost analysis was performed at the request of the California Department of Health Services on its plague control program at 2 California campgrounds. In addition to the current control program, consisting of surveillance and control, a surveillance-only program and 2 no-program alternatives were considered. The results showed that the current control program was economically preferable, with an average annual net benefit of ca. $2000. Ranking the suboptimal alternatives showed that the no-program/open-park alternative was the next preferable, followed by the surveillance-only program, then the no-program/park-closure alternative. Sensitivity analysis showed that the current control program would remain optimal if the initial assumptions were reasonably accurate. However, the results were highly sensitive to the assumed number of human cases and frequency of epidemics. Slight overstatement of these factors might incorrectly favor the current control program over the no-program/open-park alternative. Methodology developed in this study may be applied to an evaluation of the California (or other statewide/regional) plague control programs.

AB - A benefit-cost analysis was performed at the request of the California Department of Health Services on its plague control program at 2 California campgrounds. In addition to the current control program, consisting of surveillance and control, a surveillance-only program and 2 no-program alternatives were considered. The results showed that the current control program was economically preferable, with an average annual net benefit of ca. $2000. Ranking the suboptimal alternatives showed that the no-program/open-park alternative was the next preferable, followed by the surveillance-only program, then the no-program/park-closure alternative. Sensitivity analysis showed that the current control program would remain optimal if the initial assumptions were reasonably accurate. However, the results were highly sensitive to the assumed number of human cases and frequency of epidemics. Slight overstatement of these factors might incorrectly favor the current control program over the no-program/open-park alternative. Methodology developed in this study may be applied to an evaluation of the California (or other statewide/regional) plague control programs.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0022252936&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0022252936&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1093/jmedent/22.5.499

DO - 10.1093/jmedent/22.5.499

M3 - Article

VL - 22

SP - 499

EP - 506

JO - Journal of Medical Entomology

JF - Journal of Medical Entomology

SN - 0022-2585

IS - 5

ER -