Assessing alternative low pathogenic avian influenza virus surveillance strategies in a live bird market

Tim Carpenter, Carol Cardona

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

Surveillance, comprised of sampling and testing, of low pathogenic avian influenza virus (LPAIV) in a live bird market (LBM) may enable the detection of the virus, reducing its spread within the market to humans and birds and to other markets within the LBM system. In addition, detection of infected birds would also reduce the probability of reassortment and possible change from a LPAIV to a highly pathogenic avian influenza virus, which would have a devastating impact on the economy, trade, and society. In this paper we present results from a computer simulation model based on previously collected survey and experimental transmission data. Once we validated the model with experimental transmission data, we applied it to address some of the questions that need to be answered in order to create an efficient surveillance system in an LBM. We have identified effective sampling times, patterns, and sizes that would enhance the probability of an early detection of LPAIV if present and minimize the associated labor and cost. The model may be modified to evaluate different sized and structured LBMs. It also provides the basis to evaluate an entire LBM system for the United States or other countries.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)880-883
Number of pages4
JournalAvian Diseases
Volume56
Issue number4 SUPPL.1
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2012
Externally publishedYes

Fingerprint

Influenza in Birds
Orthomyxoviridae
Influenza A virus
Birds
markets
monitoring
birds
Computer Simulation
computer simulation
simulation models
labor
Theoretical Models
Viruses
Costs and Cost Analysis
sampling
viruses
testing

Keywords

  • Avian influenza virus
  • live bird market
  • LPAIV
  • simulation model
  • surveillance

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Food Animals
  • Animal Science and Zoology
  • Immunology and Microbiology(all)

Cite this

Assessing alternative low pathogenic avian influenza virus surveillance strategies in a live bird market. / Carpenter, Tim; Cardona, Carol.

In: Avian Diseases, Vol. 56, No. 4 SUPPL.1, 01.12.2012, p. 880-883.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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